ORN
Trump PickINFRAOrion Group Holdings, Inc.
Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Winner Score
80
Current Price
$10.39
Market Cap
N/A
Signal52 Status
Noise
As of Close 2026-03-20
Key Takeaways
- •$125M in new contract wins represents ~30% of its $416M market cap, with shares trading ~31% below 52-week highs.
- •Secured $125 million in fresh Army Corps of Engineers infrastructure contracts
- •New award value represents roughly thirty percent of total market capitalization
- •Analysis from 2026-03-20.
Policy Edge
$125M in new contract wins represents ~30% of its $416M market cap, with shares trading ~31% below 52-week highs.
Investment Thesis
- Secured $125 million in fresh Army Corps of Engineers infrastructure contracts
- New award value represents roughly thirty percent of total market capitalization
- Recent twenty-two percent monthly pullback creates a highly favorable technical entry point
Orion Group Holdings offers the strongest asymmetric setup among the finalists due to the sheer materiality of its recent contract wins relative to its size. Securing $125M in new federal work is a massive fundamental driver for a $416M company, and the stock's recent 22% monthly drawdown provides a de-risked entry point.
Policy Context
Policy Rationale
The $125M in contract wins from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers highlights Orion's direct leverage to ongoing federal infrastructure and marine construction spending.
Technical Setup
Trading 30.7% below its 52-week high after a 22% monthly pullback, the stock is washed out and primed for a catalyst-driven reversal.
Key Risks
- •Execution risk on fixed-price government contracts
- •Vulnerability to federal budget continuing resolutions or delays
Status Indicators
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Recent Performance History
32 Total Picks • 30% Win Rate (7d) • 12% (30d)
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | ACM | DEFENSE | $90.32 | $88.58 | -1.93% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-18 | RS | BORDER | $295.94 | $290.56 | -1.82% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-17 | HUBB | ENERGY | $471.22 | $475.74 | +0.96% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-16 | DCO | DEFENSE | $126.91 | $120.57 | -5.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-13 | BWXT | ENERGY | $194.13 | $199.75 | +2.89% | +2.89% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-12 | RS | INFRA | $299.28 | $290.56 | -2.91% | -1.50% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-11 | RS | BORDER | $308.09 | $290.56 | -5.69% | -3.94% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-10 | PSN | BORDER | $59.33 | $50.04 | -15.66% | -8.68% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-05 | KBR | SPACE | $40.13 | $37.29 | -7.08% | -8.32% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-24 | CXW | BORDER | $16.47 | $19.46 | +18.15% | +11.66% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-23 | PSN | BORDER | $64.29 | $50.04 | -22.17% | +1.80% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-20 | LEU | ENERGY | $203.73 | $186.76 | -8.33% | -4.64% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-20 | IRDM | SPACE | $22.92 | $25.40 | +10.82% | +4.49% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-19 | GEO | BORDER | $15.32 | $16.43 | +7.25% | -2.61% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-18 | LEU | RESHORING | $206.67 | $186.76 | -9.63% | -6.00% | -9.63% | N/A |
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0