LUNR
Trump PickSPACEIntuitive Machines, Inc.
Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Winner Score
82
Current Price
$20.55
Market Cap
N/A
Signal52 Status
Noise
As of Close 2026-03-25
Key Takeaways
- •$180M NASA award vs $3.2B mcap; strong relative strength up 16% 1mo and trading ~12% below 52w high.
- •NASA awarded a new $180.4 million lunar payload delivery contract
- •Validates commercial reliance for Artemis program's critical cislunar infrastructure needs
- •Analysis from 2026-03-25.
Policy Edge
$180M NASA award vs $3.2B mcap; strong relative strength up 16% 1mo and trading ~12% below 52w high.
Investment Thesis
- NASA awarded a new $180.4 million lunar payload delivery contract
- Validates commercial reliance for Artemis program's critical cislunar infrastructure needs
- Shows strong relative strength up 16 percent despite risk-off regime
While the market is in a RISK_OFF regime that typically penalizes high-beta space stocks, Intuitive Machines offers a compelling idiosyncratic catalyst with its new $180.4M NASA contract. Although HUBG had a higher initial score and strong infrastructure merits, it is disqualified due to a massive accounting restatement. Therefore, LUNR provides the best investable asymmetric setup by building tangible cislunar infrastructure with strong technical momentum.
Policy Context
Policy Rationale
The $180.4M NASA award anchors the thesis, proving the agency's continued reliance on commercial partners for the Artemis program's lunar payload deliveries.
Technical Setup
Trading ~12% below its 52-week high with a 16.3% 1-month return, LUNR demonstrates strong relative strength despite broader market volatility.
Key Risks
- •High beta in RISK_OFF regime
- •Execution risk on lunar missions
- •Cash burn and dilution concerns
Status Indicators
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Competitive Field
HUBG— Disqualified due to a massive accounting scandal revealed in Feb 2026 involving a $77M understatement of costs and restatement of Q1-Q3 2025 financials.
Recent Performance History
35 Total Picks • 33% Win Rate (7d) • 19% (30d)
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | CXW | BORDER | $19.94 | $19.98 | +0.20% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-23 | ACM | INFRA | $90.06 | $88.54 | -1.69% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-20 | ORN | INFRA | $10.39 | $11.22 | +7.99% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-19 | ACM | DEFENSE | $90.32 | $88.54 | -1.97% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-18 | RS | BORDER | $295.94 | $298.99 | +1.03% | +1.03% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-17 | HUBB | ENERGY | $471.22 | $503.20 | +6.79% | +7.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-16 | DCO | DEFENSE | $126.91 | $126.76 | -0.12% | -3.29% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-13 | BWXT | ENERGY | $194.13 | $222.13 | +14.42% | +2.89% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-12 | RS | INFRA | $299.28 | $298.99 | -0.10% | -1.50% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-11 | RS | BORDER | $308.09 | $298.99 | -2.95% | -3.94% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-10 | PSN | BORDER | $59.33 | $53.84 | -9.25% | -8.68% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-05 | KBR | SPACE | $40.13 | $37.74 | -5.96% | -8.32% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-24 | CXW | BORDER | $16.47 | $19.98 | +21.31% | +11.66% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-23 | PSN | BORDER | $64.29 | $53.84 | -16.25% | +1.80% | -16.25% | N/A |
| 2026-02-20 | LEU | ENERGY | $203.73 | $193.26 | -5.14% | -4.64% | -4.97% | N/A |
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0