LUNR
Trump PickSPACEIntuitive Machines, Inc.
Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Winner Score
84
Current Price
$19.23
Market Cap
N/A
Signal52 Status
Noise
As of Close 2026-03-26
Key Takeaways
- •$180M NASA award anchors $3B mcap; trades 17.5% below 52w high despite +16.6% 1mo return.
- •Secured a $180.4 million NASA CLPS task order for lunar south pole payloads.
- •Validates the transition from experimental missions to recurring space infrastructure and logistics provider.
- •Analysis from 2026-03-26.
Policy Edge
$180M NASA award anchors $3B mcap; trades 17.5% below 52w high despite +16.6% 1mo return.
Investment Thesis
- Secured a $180.4 million NASA CLPS task order for lunar south pole payloads.
- Validates the transition from experimental missions to recurring space infrastructure and logistics provider.
- High short interest and recent positive momentum create potential for a technical squeeze.
LUNR offers a compelling asymmetric setup as it transitions into a recurring revenue provider for NASA's Artemis program. Despite the broader RISK_OFF regime, the idiosyncratic nature of this $180.4M policy-backed contract provides a strong fundamental anchor, while the 17.5% discount to its 52-week high leaves room for upside.
Policy Context
Policy Rationale
The $180.4M NASA CLPS award directly aligns with expanding federal space infrastructure initiatives, cementing LUNR's role in the supply chain.
Technical Setup
With a solid technical score of 15 and elevated short interest, the stock is positioned for a potential squeeze if momentum continues.
Key Risks
- •High short interest and beta in a RISK_OFF regime
- •DOJ False Claims Act inquiry into acquired subsidiary Lanteris
- •Shareholder class action lawsuits regarding 2024 lander mission
Status Indicators
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Competitive Field
GVA— The cited $691M contract was awarded to a competitor joint venture (Flatiron-AECON), not Granite Construction.
Recent Performance History
36 Total Picks • 32% Win Rate (7d) • 23% (30d)
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | LUNR | SPACE | $20.55 | $19.23 | -6.42% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-24 | CXW | BORDER | $19.94 | $19.79 | -0.75% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-23 | ACM | INFRA | $90.06 | $86.95 | -3.45% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-20 | ORN | INFRA | $10.39 | $10.88 | +4.72% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-19 | ACM | DEFENSE | $90.32 | $86.95 | -3.73% | -3.73% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-18 | RS | BORDER | $295.94 | $299.60 | +1.24% | +1.03% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-17 | HUBB | ENERGY | $471.22 | $481.67 | +2.22% | +7.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-16 | DCO | DEFENSE | $126.91 | $121.42 | -4.33% | -3.29% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-13 | BWXT | ENERGY | $194.13 | $205.09 | +5.65% | +2.89% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-12 | RS | INFRA | $299.28 | $299.60 | +0.11% | -1.50% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-11 | RS | BORDER | $308.09 | $299.60 | -2.76% | -3.94% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-10 | PSN | BORDER | $59.33 | $53.62 | -9.62% | -8.68% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-05 | KBR | SPACE | $40.13 | $37.53 | -6.48% | -8.32% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-24 | CXW | BORDER | $16.47 | $19.79 | +20.16% | +11.66% | +20.16% | N/A |
| 2026-02-23 | PSN | BORDER | $64.29 | $53.62 | -16.60% | +1.80% | -16.25% | N/A |
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0