BKSY
Trump PickSPACEBlackSky Technology Inc.
Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Winner Score
82
Current Price
$27.62
Market Cap
N/A
Signal52 Status
Noise
As of Close 2026-04-01
Key Takeaways
- •$99M sole-source award is ~10% of its $1.02B market cap, while trading 16.8% below its 52-week high.
- •Secured a $99 million sole-source defense contract for next-generation space intelligence.
- •Validates a definitive policy shift toward relying on commercial space domain awareness.
- •Analysis from 2026-04-01.
Policy Edge
$99M sole-source award is ~10% of its $1.02B market cap, while trading 16.8% below its 52-week high.
Investment Thesis
- Secured a $99 million sole-source defense contract for next-generation space intelligence.
- Validates a definitive policy shift toward relying on commercial space domain awareness.
- Maintains nearly 17 percent upside to 52-week highs despite strong recent momentum.
In an expanding volatility regime, BKSY offers the best asymmetric setup because its sole-source defense contract provides a high-quality policy anchor. This overrides macro caution by guaranteeing specialized revenue that represents nearly 10% of its market cap, offering a stronger moat than routine task orders.
Policy Context
Policy Rationale
The Air Force Research Laboratory award anchors BKSY as a critical, hard-to-replace vendor in the government's expanding space intelligence and domain awareness architecture.
Technical Setup
Despite a 27.8% one-month return reflecting improving internal market breadth, the stock remains 16.8% below its 52-week high, offering tradable upside.
Key Risks
- •High short interest (~20%) could drive near-term price volatility
- •Heavy reliance on government contract renewals and defense funding appropriations
Recent Performance History
40 Total Picks • 31% Win Rate (7d) • 23% (30d)
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | BKSY | DEFENSE | $25.16 | $27.62 | +9.78% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-30 | GVA | INFRA | $116.49 | $122.32 | +5.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-27 | DRS | DEFENSE | $44.84 | $45.86 | +2.27% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-26 | LUNR | SPACE | $19.23 | $20.24 | +5.25% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-25 | LUNR | SPACE | $20.55 | $20.24 | -1.51% | -1.51% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-24 | CXW | BORDER | $19.94 | $19.13 | -4.06% | -5.17% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-23 | ACM | INFRA | $90.06 | $85.70 | -4.84% | -7.61% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-20 | ORN | INFRA | $10.39 | $11.24 | +8.18% | +4.72% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-19 | ACM | DEFENSE | $90.32 | $85.70 | -5.12% | -3.73% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-18 | RS | BORDER | $295.94 | $307.19 | +3.80% | +1.03% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-17 | HUBB | ENERGY | $471.22 | $500.38 | +6.19% | +7.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-16 | DCO | DEFENSE | $126.91 | $126.43 | -0.38% | -3.29% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-13 | BWXT | ENERGY | $194.13 | $212.81 | +9.62% | +2.89% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-12 | RS | INFRA | $299.28 | $307.19 | +2.64% | -1.50% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-03-11 | RS | BORDER | $308.09 | $307.19 | -0.29% | -3.94% | N/A | N/A |
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0