CXW
Trump PickBORDERCoreCivic, Inc.
Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Winner Score
68
Current Price
$30.29
Market Cap
N/A
Signal52 Status
Noise
As of Close 2026-06-29
Key Takeaways
- •Sole-source ICE award vs $2.99B mcap; highly material policy catalyst despite trading just 2.4% off its 52w high.
- •DHS and ICE issued a sole-source procurement for comprehensive private detention services.
- •Directly enables the administration's aggressive border enforcement and facility decompression strategy.
- •Analysis from 2026-06-29.
Policy Edge
Sole-source ICE award vs $2.99B mcap; highly material policy catalyst despite trading just 2.4% off its 52w high.
Investment Thesis
- DHS and ICE issued a sole-source procurement for comprehensive private detention services.
- Directly enables the administration's aggressive border enforcement and facility decompression strategy.
- Momentum regime favors high-beta policy plays despite the recent 42 percent monthly run-up.
CoreCivic offers the most direct and material policy-shift catalyst among the finalists. While GVA and UCTT have routine or small-scale contracts, CXW's sole-source ICE procurement is highly material to its $2.99B market cap and perfectly aligns with the administration's border policy. In a RISK_ON, momentum-driven market, its recent outperformance is a feature that suggests further upside.
Policy Context
Policy Rationale
The June 4th SAM.gov notice for sole-source ICE detention services confirms CXW's critical role as an infrastructure enabler for the administration's border strategy.
Technical Setup
Although trading just 2.43% below its 52-week high after a 42% monthly gain, compressing volatility and a RISK_ON regime support further momentum breakouts.
Key Risks
- •Legal injunctions against ICE detention expansion
- •Overcrowded momentum trade vulnerable to broader market risk-off shifts
Recent Performance History
94 Total Picks • 44% Win Rate (7d) • 59% (30d)
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | TTEK | ENERGY | $29.26 | $29.26 | +0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-25 | FCEL | ENERGY | $19.65 | $29.80 | +51.65% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK | DEFENSE | $125.99 | $124.14 | -1.47% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-23 | RGTI | RESHORING | $21.28 | $19.44 | -8.65% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-22 | AISP | BORDER | $2.86 | $2.32 | -18.88% | -18.88% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-18 | NPK | DEFENSE | $131.84 | $124.14 | -5.84% | -6.16% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-16 | PSN | INFRA | $55.66 | $51.32 | -7.80% | -12.59% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-15 | PSN | INFRA | $55.49 | $51.32 | -7.51% | -12.33% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-12 | GEO | BORDER | $28.44 | $29.46 | +3.59% | +4.32% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-11 | ABAT | ENERGY | $3.42 | $2.68 | -21.64% | -8.77% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-10 | SAIC | DEFENSE | $114.23 | $112.96 | -1.11% | -6.57% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-09 | USAR | RESHORING | $20.90 | $21.04 | +0.67% | +4.02% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-08 | HNRG | ENERGY | $16.92 | $16.93 | +0.06% | -2.78% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-05 | PSN | BORDER | $58.72 | $51.32 | -12.60% | -3.44% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-03 | USAR | RESHORING | $27.98 | $21.04 | -24.80% | -27.34% | N/A | N/A |
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0