CXW
Trump PickBORDERCoreCivic, Inc.
Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Winner Score
84
Current Price
$31.35
Market Cap
N/A
Signal52 Status
Noise
As of Close 2026-07-24
Key Takeaways
- •$1.5B ICE detention center purchase vs $3.1B mcap; trading just 4.1% below 52w high.
- •ICE executed a massive $1.5B purchase of two California detention centers.
- •This signals a concrete, well-funded expansion of the administration's border enforcement strategy.
- •Analysis from 2026-07-24.
Policy Edge
$1.5B ICE detention center purchase vs $3.1B mcap; trading just 4.1% below 52w high.
Investment Thesis
- ICE executed a massive $1.5B purchase of two California detention centers.
- This signals a concrete, well-funded expansion of the administration's border enforcement strategy.
- Despite trading near highs, the sheer scale of this policy shift remains underpriced.
CXW offers the best asymmetric setup due to the sheer magnitude of the $1.5B ICE contract relative to its $3.1B market cap. While the stock is trading near its 52-week high, the explicit tie to a major administration policy shift provides a catalyst strong enough to override macro caution. In a market rewarding high-beta momentum, this massive fundamental driver justifies the selection.
Policy Context
Policy Rationale
The $1.5B purchase of two ICE detention centers in California directly anchors to the administration's aggressive new immigration strategy. This ensures long-term capacity utilization and revenue visibility for CoreCivic.
Technical Setup
Although CXW is only 4.1% away from its 52-week high, the market's current internal strength in high-beta momentum names supports a breakout.
Key Risks
- •Reversal or delay in federal immigration policy funding
- •ESG-driven institutional selling pressure limiting multiple expansion
Status Indicators
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Recent Performance History
107 Total Picks • 42% Win Rate (7d) • 53% (30d) • 38% Beat SPY (7d) • Full History →
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | WTTR | ENERGY | $20.33 | $20.17 | -0.79% | -0.79% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-16 | CXW | BORDER | $30.65 | $31.35 | +2.28% | +3.26% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-15 | CNR | ENERGY | $86.21 | $83.20 | -3.49% | +1.47% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-14 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $50.36 | $47.35 | -5.98% | -4.27% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-13 | RKLB | SPACE | $76.73 | $63.91 | -16.71% | -14.32% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-10 | LUNR | SPACE | $16.14 | $12.92 | -19.95% | -16.73% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-09 | LASR | DEFENSE | $74.71 | $70.02 | -6.28% | -12.07% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-08 | LEU | ENERGY | $166.47 | $170.78 | +2.59% | -5.97% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-06 | LEU | ENERGY | $174.23 | $170.78 | -1.98% | -10.43% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-02 | GVA | INFRA | $145.93 | $124.47 | -14.71% | -13.95% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-01 | LEU | DEFENSE | $166.34 | $170.78 | +2.67% | +0.08% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-30 | CXW | BORDER | $30.38 | $31.35 | +3.19% | -3.55% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-29 | CXW | BORDER | $30.29 | $31.35 | +3.50% | +0.43% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-26 | TTEK | ENERGY | $29.26 | $30.57 | +4.48% | +2.19% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-06-25 | FCEL | ENERGY | $19.65 | $23.30 | +18.58% | +62.29% | N/A | N/A |
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0