GEO
Geo Group Inc (The) REITBORDERReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
Record $254M profit confirms deportation policy monetization
New ICE contracts secure long-term revenue visibility
Recent 13% pullback on conservative guidance resets expectations
GEO is the direct 'pure play' on border enforcement. While the market sold off on conservative forward guidance, the *actual* reported record profits and new contracts prove the thesis is working. The valuation (52% off highs) offers a massive safety margin compared to crowded trades.
The 'Record $254M Profit After New ICE Contracts' (Feb 13) directly links Trump's border policy to bottom-line cash flow.
The 13% pullback to ~$15 offers a mean-reversion entry within a broader uptrend, flushing out weak hands.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 | LEU | RESHORING | $206.67 | $208.88 | +1.07% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-17 | USAR | RESHORING | $19.02 | $18.39 | -3.31% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-13 | WLDN | INFRA | $117.33 | $118.13 | +0.68% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-13 | USAR | RESHORING | $19.39 | $18.39 | -5.18% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-12 | MP | RESHORING | $57.30 | $58.56 | +2.20% | +2.20% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-11 | VRRM | INFRA | $18.58 | $18.44 | -0.75% | -0.59% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-10 | POWL | ENERGY | $570.26 | $536.36 | -5.94% | -1.51% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-09 | USAR | RESHORING | $23.44 | $18.39 | -21.54% | -18.86% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-06 | USAR | RESHORING | $21.84 | $18.39 | -15.80% | -11.20% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-05 | LEU | ENERGY | $242.09 | $208.88 | -13.72% | -23.50% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-04 | MP | RESHORING | $60.55 | $58.56 | -3.29% | +0.05% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-03 | USAR | RESHORING | $25.97 | $18.39 | -29.19% | -15.75% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-02 | SAIC | SPACE | $100.88 | $91.02 | -9.77% | -2.60% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-01-30 | LEU | ENERGY | $278.28 | $208.88 | -24.94% | -5.32% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-01-27 | PSN | INFRA | $71.41 | $65.93 | -7.67% | -4.30% | N/A | N/A |