CXW

CoreCivic, Inc.BORDER

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price

$16.47

Market Cap

N/A

Scanner Status

Noisepolicy-driven, not technical

Status

VerifiedTIER_1_14DFUNDING

Winner Score

83 /100

Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

Trump administration unveils $38.3B Detention Reengineering plan for mass deportations.

Massive funding injection directly targets CoreCivic's warehouse and detention operational core.

Recent earnings miss creates discounted entry before program funds begin flowing.

CoreCivic is the primary beneficiary of the newly revealed $38.3B ICE infrastructure overhaul, a figure 22x its current market cap. While the market punished a short-term EPS miss (-11% in 1 month), the magnitude of this structural policy injection is not priced in.

Policy Rationale

The 'Detention Reengineering Initiative' (Feb 13) explicitly allocates $38B for new facilities, confirming a multi-year secular boom.

Technical Setup

Stock is oversold (-30% from high) following earnings, sitting at support with a massive fundamental tailwind pending.

Key Risks

–Operational lawsuits regarding facility conditions (e.g., recent NM whistleblower allegations)

–Political/legal challenges delaying the $38B funding deployment

–Wage inflation pressuring margins despite revenue growth

Competitive Field — considered, not selected

GEO

Lower total score (67 vs 83) and smaller specific catalyst ($1B vs $38B program).

PSN

Significantly lower score (57) and higher valuation; catalyst impact is less quantifiable.

Recent Performance History

22 total picks · 25% win (7d) · 0% win (30d) · Full history →

Date	Ticker	Theme	Entry	Last	Gain/Loss	7d	30d	60d
2026-02-23	PSN	BORDER	$64.29	$64.69	+0.62%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-02-20	LEU	ENERGY	$203.73	$207.17	+1.69%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-02-20	IRDM	SPACE	$22.92	$23.91	+4.32%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-02-19	GEO	BORDER	$15.32	$13.81	-9.86%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-02-18	LEU	RESHORING	$206.67	$207.17	+0.24%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-02-17	USAR	RESHORING	$19.02	$20.39	+7.20%	+7.20%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-13	WLDN	INFRA	$117.33	$111.67	-4.82%	+1.42%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-13	USAR	RESHORING	$19.39	$20.39	+5.13%	-11.16%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-12	MP	RESHORING	$57.30	$58.44	+1.99%	+2.20%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-11	VRRM	INFRA	$18.58	$18.71	+0.70%	-0.59%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-10	POWL	ENERGY	$570.26	$559.16	-1.95%	-1.51%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-09	USAR	RESHORING	$23.44	$20.39	-13.01%	-18.86%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-06	USAR	RESHORING	$21.84	$20.39	-6.64%	-11.20%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-05	LEU	ENERGY	$242.09	$207.17	-14.42%	-23.50%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-04	MP	RESHORING	$60.55	$58.44	-3.48%	+0.05%	N/A	N/A

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