USAR
USA Rare Earth, Inc.RESHORINGReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
CHIPS Act $1.6B LOI secures critical mine-to-magnet domestic supply chain.
Validates strategic independence from China for defense and EV sectors.
Stock down ~25% in 1mo offers deep entry before funding finalization.
USAR presents the highest asymmetry with a transformational $1.6B government backstop relative to its $4.1B market cap. While the 'Risk-Off' regime typically punishes pre-revenue miners, the sheer magnitude of this policy catalyst overrides macro headwinds, creating a 'policy put' that limits downside while fueling a potential short squeeze on the rebound.
The $1.6B LOI from the U.S. Department of Commerce (CHIPS Program) is a definitive sovereign endorsement, de-risking the capital-intensive buildout of the Round Top project.
The stock is deeply oversold (-25% 1mo) and 57% off highs, positioning it for a sharp mean reversion as the funding news digests.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-24 | CXW | BORDER | $16.47 | $17.68 | +7.35% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-23 | PSN | BORDER | $64.29 | $66.00 | +2.66% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-20 | LEU | ENERGY | $203.73 | $202.59 | -0.56% | -0.56% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-20 | IRDM | SPACE | $22.92 | $23.95 | +4.49% | +4.49% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-19 | GEO | BORDER | $15.32 | $15.04 | -1.83% | -1.83% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-18 | LEU | RESHORING | $206.67 | $202.59 | -1.97% | -1.97% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-17 | USAR | RESHORING | $19.02 | $18.90 | -0.63% | +7.20% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-13 | WLDN | INFRA | $117.33 | $89.14 | -24.03% | +1.42% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-13 | USAR | RESHORING | $19.39 | $18.90 | -2.55% | -11.16% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-12 | MP | RESHORING | $57.30 | $58.87 | +2.74% | +2.20% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-11 | VRRM | INFRA | $18.58 | $16.71 | -10.06% | -0.59% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-10 | POWL | ENERGY | $570.26 | $523.60 | -8.18% | -1.51% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-09 | USAR | RESHORING | $23.44 | $18.90 | -19.37% | -18.86% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-06 | USAR | RESHORING | $21.84 | $18.90 | -13.46% | -11.20% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-02-05 | LEU | ENERGY | $242.09 | $202.59 | -16.32% | -23.50% | N/A | N/A |