Policy Pick · March 18, 2026
As of close 2026-03-18

RS

Reliance, Inc.BORDER

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price
$295.94
Market Cap
N/A
Scanner Status
Noisepolicy-driven, not technical
Status
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Winner Score
70 /100
Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

1

Subsidiary AMI Metals secured a massive $2.24 billion DHS border wall steel contract.

2

The award directly monetizes the administration's signature immigration and physical infrastructure policy mandate.

3

Shares sit nineteen percent below highs, offering a de-risked entry in risk-off conditions.

Reliance offers the best asymmetric setup because its $2.24B border wall contract is a highly visible, policy-driven catalyst that represents nearly 15% of its market cap. Despite this fundamental tailwind, the stock has pulled back significantly and remains under-owned as a policy play, providing an excellent defensive entry point during the current risk-off market regime.

Policy Rationale

The $2.24B DHS contract awarded to subsidiary AMI Metals explicitly ties Reliance to the administration's highest-priority border security and physical infrastructure mandate.

Technical Setup

Shares are trading 19.05% below their 52-week high and are down 9.21% over the past month, offering a de-risked entry point before the market fully prices in the new contract.

Key Risks
Execution delays or funding disputes on federal border wall projects
Broader macroeconomic slowdown impacting the core industrial metals processing business
Competitive Field — considered, not selected
MP

The $500M DOE funding is a general program drive, lacking the immediate, company-specific revenue impact of Reliance's locked-in contract.

TTEK

The $99M Navy contract is a routine task order that is too small to move the needle on an $8B market cap.

Recent Performance History

30 total picks · 28% win (7d) · 13% win (30d) · Full history →
DateTickerThemeEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-03-17HUBBENERGY$471.22$477.47+1.33%N/AN/AN/A
2026-03-16DCODEFENSE$126.91$124.83-1.64%N/AN/AN/A
2026-03-13BWXTENERGY$194.13$208.98+7.65%N/AN/AN/A
2026-03-12RSINFRA$299.28$295.94-1.12%N/AN/AN/A
2026-03-11RSBORDER$308.09$295.94-3.94%-3.94%N/AN/A
2026-03-10PSNBORDER$59.33$51.11-13.85%-8.68%N/AN/A
2026-03-05KBRSPACE$40.13$36.53-8.97%-8.32%N/AN/A
2026-02-24CXWBORDER$16.47$20.22+22.77%+11.66%N/AN/A
2026-02-23PSNBORDER$64.29$51.11-20.50%+1.80%N/AN/A
2026-02-20LEUENERGY$203.73$208.46+2.32%-4.64%N/AN/A
2026-02-20IRDMSPACE$22.92$25.52+11.34%+4.49%N/AN/A
2026-02-19GEOBORDER$15.32$16.74+9.27%-2.61%N/AN/A
2026-02-18LEURESHORING$206.67$208.46+0.87%-6.00%N/AN/A
2026-02-17USARRESHORING$19.02$18.40-3.26%+7.20%N/AN/A
2026-02-13WLDNINFRA$117.33$75.18-35.92%+1.42%-33.00%N/A
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0