ORN

Orion Group Holdings, Inc.INFRA

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price

$10.39

Market Cap

N/A

Scanner Status

Noisepolicy-driven, not technical

Status

VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT

Winner Score

80 /100

Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

Secured $125 million in fresh Army Corps of Engineers infrastructure contracts

New award value represents roughly thirty percent of total market capitalization

Recent twenty-two percent monthly pullback creates a highly favorable technical entry point

Orion Group Holdings offers the strongest asymmetric setup among the finalists due to the sheer materiality of its recent contract wins relative to its size. Securing $125M in new federal work is a massive fundamental driver for a $416M company, and the stock's recent 22% monthly drawdown provides a de-risked entry point.

Policy Rationale

The $125M in contract wins from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers highlights Orion's direct leverage to ongoing federal infrastructure and marine construction spending.

Technical Setup

Trading 30.7% below its 52-week high after a 22% monthly pullback, the stock is washed out and primed for a catalyst-driven reversal.

Key Risks

–Execution risk on fixed-price government contracts

–Vulnerability to federal budget continuing resolutions or delays

Competitive Field — considered, not selected

ACM

While the $151B SHIELD IDIQ ceiling is massive, AECOM's $11.4B market cap dilutes the immediate financial impact of a shared contract vehicle.

USAR

The $1.57B CHIPS Act funding is highly material, but the catalyst is a 30-day-old non-binding LOI rather than a finalized award.

Recent Performance History

32 total picks · 30% win (7d) · 12% win (30d) · Full history →

Date	Ticker	Theme	Entry	Last	Gain/Loss	7d	30d	60d
2026-03-19	ACM	DEFENSE	$90.32	$88.58	-1.93%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-03-18	RS	BORDER	$295.94	$290.56	-1.82%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-03-17	HUBB	ENERGY	$471.22	$475.74	+0.96%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-03-16	DCO	DEFENSE	$126.91	$120.57	-5.00%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-03-13	BWXT	ENERGY	$194.13	$199.75	+2.89%	+2.89%	N/A	N/A
2026-03-12	RS	INFRA	$299.28	$290.56	-2.91%	-1.50%	N/A	N/A
2026-03-11	RS	BORDER	$308.09	$290.56	-5.69%	-3.94%	N/A	N/A
2026-03-10	PSN	BORDER	$59.33	$50.04	-15.66%	-8.68%	N/A	N/A
2026-03-05	KBR	SPACE	$40.13	$37.29	-7.08%	-8.32%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-24	CXW	BORDER	$16.47	$19.46	+18.15%	+11.66%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-23	PSN	BORDER	$64.29	$50.04	-22.17%	+1.80%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-20	LEU	ENERGY	$203.73	$186.76	-8.33%	-4.64%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-20	IRDM	SPACE	$22.92	$25.40	+10.82%	+4.49%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-19	GEO	BORDER	$15.32	$16.43	+7.25%	-2.61%	N/A	N/A
2026-02-18	LEU	RESHORING	$206.67	$186.76	-9.63%	-6.00%	-9.63%	N/A

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