Policy Pick · March 24, 2026
As of close 2026-03-24

CXW

CoreCivic, Inc.BORDER

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price
$19.94
Market Cap
N/A
Scanner Status
Noisepolicy-driven, not technical
Status
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Winner Score
92 /100
Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

1

Investors incorrectly penalized incumbents after ICE awarded initial warehouse contracts to newcomers

2

CoreCivic retains irreplaceable operational infrastructure required for the massive federal detention expansion

3

Technical resilience just fifteen percent below highs provides safety in risk-off tape

CoreCivic offers a superior asymmetric setup as the market misprices its essential role in the administration's border policies following a headline about new contractors. Its higher technical score and proximity to 52-week highs indicate better relative strength in a volatile, risk-off market compared to GEO.

Policy Rationale

While ICE's recent $400M warehouse awards went to non-traditional contractors, CoreCivic's existing infrastructure remains critical for the broader detention expansion mandate.

Technical Setup

Trading just 15.29% below its 52-week high, CXW demonstrates resilient relative strength and a stronger technical setup than its peers in a risk-off tape.

Key Risks
Headline risk from contract losses to new entrants
Geopolitical volatility driving broad equity selloffs
Competitive Field — considered, not selected
GEO

GEO's massive 47% distance from its 52-week high suggests broken technicals and higher beta risk in a risk-off regime.

Recent Performance History

34 total picks · 31% win (7d) · 20% win (30d) · Full history →
DateTickerThemeEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-03-23ACMINFRA$90.06$88.85-1.34%N/AN/AN/A
2026-03-20ORNINFRA$10.39$11.37+9.43%N/AN/AN/A
2026-03-19ACMDEFENSE$90.32$88.85-1.63%N/AN/AN/A
2026-03-18RSBORDER$295.94$300.22+1.45%N/AN/AN/A
2026-03-17HUBBENERGY$471.22$505.62+7.30%+7.30%N/AN/A
2026-03-16DCODEFENSE$126.91$123.91-2.36%-3.29%N/AN/A
2026-03-13BWXTENERGY$194.13$204.76+5.48%+2.89%N/AN/A
2026-03-12RSINFRA$299.28$300.22+0.31%-1.50%N/AN/A
2026-03-11RSBORDER$308.09$300.22-2.55%-3.94%N/AN/A
2026-03-10PSNBORDER$59.33$50.43-15.00%-8.68%N/AN/A
2026-03-05KBRSPACE$40.13$37.46-6.65%-8.32%N/AN/A
2026-02-24CXWBORDER$16.47$19.94+21.07%+11.66%N/AN/A
2026-02-23PSNBORDER$64.29$50.43-21.56%+1.80%N/AN/A
2026-02-20LEUENERGY$203.73$195.84-3.87%-4.64%-4.97%N/A
2026-02-20IRDMSPACE$22.92$26.83+17.06%+4.49%+14.75%N/A
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0