GEO
Geo Group Inc (The) REITBORDERReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
Trump administration is aggressively expanding ICE detention and processing capacity
GEO is the primary established operator capable of meeting demand
Market overestimates threat of new entrants while ignoring established capacity
GEO offers the most compelling asymmetric setup among the finalists. The $800M ICE/CBP contract represents nearly a third of its $2.45B market cap, providing a massive fundamental floor. With the stock trading 42% below its 52-week high, there is significant room for multiple expansion as border policies accelerate.
The $800M in contracts with ICE and CBP directly anchors GEO as the critical infrastructure enabler for the administration's aggressive border enforcement targets.
Trading 42.41% below its 52-week high with a recent 9.09% 1-month return, GEO shows emerging momentum while remaining completely uncrowded.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | GEO | BORDER | $18.91 | $18.48 | -2.27% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-21 | RDW | SPACE | $10.31 | $10.04 | -2.62% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-20 | BKSY | SPACE | $37.42 | $38.44 | +2.73% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-17 | GHM | SPACE | $95.38 | $97.60 | +2.33% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-16 | VOYG | SPACE | $32.54 | $30.12 | -7.44% | -7.44% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-15 | BKSY | SPACE | $33.08 | $38.44 | +16.20% | +22.91% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-14 | ALB | RESHORING | $189.86 | $193.14 | +1.73% | +4.51% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-13 | LUNR | SPACE | $24.41 | $27.56 | +12.90% | +12.74% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-10 | HUBB | ENERGY | $536.01 | $557.85 | +4.07% | -0.08% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-09 | MP | RESHORING | $53.90 | $63.32 | +17.48% | +15.58% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-08 | USAU | RESHORING | $14.75 | $16.37 | +10.98% | +14.51% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-07 | GEO | BORDER | $17.59 | $18.48 | +5.06% | +1.76% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-06 | GEO | BORDER | $17.77 | $18.48 | +4.00% | -0.34% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-02 | J | INFRA | $128.02 | $127.58 | -0.34% | -0.70% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-01 | BKSY | SPACE | $27.62 | $38.44 | +39.17% | +20.96% | N/A | N/A |