GEO
Geo Group Inc (The) REITBORDERReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
ICE quietly awarded a massive $1.5B detention center contract in California.
Secures long-term revenue visibility despite broader ESG-related institutional divestment headwinds.
Deeply discounted at 42 percent below highs with strong recent momentum.
GEO offers the most compelling asymmetric setup, combining a massive $1.5B policy-driven contract with a deeply discounted valuation. While USAU scored slightly higher, it carries severe red flags regarding past SEC pump-and-dump investigations tied to its reverse merger. GEO provides a cleaner, high-beta momentum play perfectly suited for the current RISK_ON regime.
The $1.5B ICE contract for a California detention center directly anchors GEO to expanding border enforcement policies, providing tangible long-term backlog.
Trading 41.8% below its 52-week high but up 14.4% over the last month, GEO shows strong momentum emerging from a deep value base.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | GEO | BORDER | $18.83 | $18.67 | -0.85% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-23 | GEO | BORDER | $18.48 | $18.67 | +1.03% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-22 | GEO | BORDER | $18.91 | $18.67 | -1.27% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-21 | RDW | SPACE | $10.31 | $9.33 | -9.51% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-20 | BKSY | SPACE | $37.42 | $33.21 | -11.25% | -11.25% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-17 | GHM | SPACE | $95.38 | $94.66 | -0.75% | +2.12% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-16 | VOYG | SPACE | $32.54 | $27.23 | -16.32% | -7.44% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-15 | BKSY | SPACE | $33.08 | $33.21 | +0.39% | +22.91% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-14 | ALB | RESHORING | $189.86 | $199.53 | +5.09% | +4.51% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-13 | LUNR | SPACE | $24.41 | $26.20 | +7.33% | +12.74% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-10 | HUBB | ENERGY | $536.01 | $555.34 | +3.61% | -0.08% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-09 | MP | RESHORING | $53.90 | $64.92 | +20.45% | +15.58% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-08 | USAU | RESHORING | $14.75 | $16.17 | +9.63% | +14.51% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-07 | GEO | BORDER | $17.59 | $18.67 | +6.14% | +1.76% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-04-06 | GEO | BORDER | $17.77 | $18.67 | +5.06% | -0.34% | N/A | N/A |