Pick of the Day · May 1, 2026
As of close 2026-05-01

TKO

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.MOMENTUM BREAKOUT setup

Real picks. Real tracking. We bet on one stock daily and show you exactly how it plays out.

Entry Price
$185.95
Total Return
+0.00%
vs SPY
+0.00%
Current Price
$185.95
AI Confidence Score
82 /100
Engine-scored conviction, 0–100
Key Takeaways
  • TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) is the Signal52 Pick of the Day for 2026-05-01.
  • The engine scored it 82/100 confidence.
  • Setup type: momentum breakout.
  • Selection is as of the 2026-05-01 market close; performance is tracked on the public track record.

Executive Summary

TKO Group Holdings (TKO) presents a compelling MOMENTUM_BREAKOUT setup following a fresh Morgan Stanley upgrade to Overweight with a $225 price target. The upgrade highlights TKO's highly visible multi-year media rights deals for UFC and WWE, alongside best-in-class EBITDA margins approaching 40%. This strong fundamental backing provides an immediate upside catalyst that aligns perfectly with today's RISK_ON and STABLE volatility regime, where high-conviction analyst upgrades are aggressively rewarded.

Technical Context
The Setup

The stock flashes a high confluence score of 15.5 and an ALPHA_MALE breakout signal, offering significant room to run at -17.3% from its 52-week high on 0.8x 20-day average volume.

Setup profileMOMENTUM BREAKOUTWhat these mean →
Invalidation — what would prove this wrong
The bullish thesis is invalidated if the price breaks and holds below the established support level of $183.10.
Runner-ups — considered, not selected
DAR

Strong earnings catalyst aligns perfectly with the earnings-driven regime, but a weak technical score (3.8) limits overall conviction

PKBK

Exceptional technical score (18.0) and near 52-week highs, but the insider purchase catalyst is too small ($39k) to drive major volume

Recent Performance History · 61 total picks · 50% win rate (7d)Full history →
DateTickerEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-04-30DAR$64.23$63.77-0.72%
2026-04-29CVLG$34.84$33.68-3.33%
2026-04-28ASND$222.08$220.93-0.52%
2026-04-27CVLG$34.95$33.68-3.63%
2026-04-24FOLD$14.49$14.49+0.00%+0.00%
2026-04-23WAFD$35.42$35.46+0.11%-0.06%
2026-04-22ASND$231.05$220.93-4.38%-4.66%
2026-04-21DBRG$15.61$15.55-0.38%-0.26%
2026-04-20WAFD$35.20$35.46+0.74%+0.85%
2026-04-17WAFD$35.24$35.46+0.62%-0.11%
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0