Policy Pick · May 8, 2026
As of close 2026-05-08

TPC

Tutor Perini CorporationINFRA

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price
$82.85
Market Cap
N/A
Scanner Status
Watchlistpolicy-driven, not technical
Status
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Winner Score
85 /100
Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

1

Selected as a prime contractor for a massive $2B military energy resilience vehicle

2

Directly benefits from the administration's policy shift toward hardening domestic military infrastructure

3

Lags peers with only a 1.6% monthly return, offering a superior entry point

Tutor Perini offers the most compelling asymmetric setup among the finalists. While sharing the exact same $2B ERCIP catalyst as Argan, TPC is half the size, making the potential task orders more material to its bottom line. Furthermore, its muted recent price action provides a significantly better margin of safety.

Policy Rationale

The $2B MATOC from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers directly aligns with the administration's policy priority of hardening military infrastructure and ensuring energy resilience.

Technical Setup

Trading 17% below its 52-week high with a flat 1-month return, TPC has not yet priced in the catalyst, unlike its crowded peers.

Key Risks
Execution delays or cost overruns on large, fixed-price civil contracts
Margin compression from persistent labor shortages and material cost inflation
Competitive Field — considered, not selected
AGX

Despite a higher score, its $9.5B market cap and recent 11% run-up make the $2B shared vehicle less impactful and more priced in.

BKSY

It has the lowest policy score and has already surged 20% in the past month, limiting near-term upside.

Recent Performance History

65 total picks · 46% win (7d) · 50% win (30d) · Full history →
DateTickerThemeEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-05-07GVAINFRA$141.23$141.88+0.46%N/AN/AN/A
2026-05-06LUNRSPACE$26.33$28.97+10.03%N/AN/AN/A
2026-05-04LUNRSPACE$25.35$28.97+14.28%N/AN/AN/A
2026-05-01LUNRSPACE$25.62$28.97+13.08%+13.08%N/AN/A
2026-04-30DCODEFENSE$141.93$137.23-3.31%-2.95%N/AN/A
2026-04-29TPCINFRA$86.04$82.85-3.71%+11.66%N/AN/A
2026-04-28ALMUSPACE$18.91$24.41+29.09%+44.76%N/AN/A
2026-04-27GEOBORDER$18.67$21.76+16.55%-0.48%N/AN/A
2026-04-24GEOBORDER$18.83$21.76+15.56%-0.42%N/AN/A
2026-04-23GEOBORDER$18.48$21.76+17.75%+0.16%N/AN/A
2026-04-22GEOBORDER$18.91$21.76+15.07%+0.21%N/AN/A
2026-04-21RDWSPACE$10.31$11.07+7.37%-12.32%N/AN/A
2026-04-20BKSYSPACE$37.42$39.45+5.42%-11.25%N/AN/A
2026-04-17GHMSPACE$95.38$98.19+2.95%+2.12%N/AN/A
2026-04-16VOYGSPACE$32.54$29.74-8.60%-7.44%N/AN/A
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0