Policy Pick · July 13, 2026
As of close 2026-07-13

RKLB

Rocket Lab CorporationSPACE

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price
$76.73
Market Cap
N/A
Scanner Status
Noisepolicy-driven, not technical
Status
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Winner Score
65 /100
Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

1

DoD awarded $5.6B NSSL Phase 3 contract to on-ramp new launch providers

2

Breaks existing launch duopoly and secures long-term national security revenue for the company

3

Risk-on regime rewards high-beta space infrastructure plays despite the large $47.9B market cap

While AVAV scored slightly higher, it is disqualified due to an active securities fraud class action lawsuit. RKLB offers the best asymmetric setup because the $5.6B NSSL Phase 3 Lane 1 contract represents a structural policy shift by the DoD to diversify space launch providers. Although RKLB's $47.9B market cap triggers crowding penalties, the sheer magnitude of this policy catalyst and the current risk-on market regime strongly support further momentum.

Policy Rationale

The Space Systems Command's $5.6B NSSL Phase 3 Lane 1 contract explicitly on-ramps new providers, cementing RKLB as a critical alternative for national security payloads.

Technical Setup

In a stable volatility, risk-on regime, high-beta momentum names like RKLB are positioned to run further as the market aggressively rewards policy-backed growth.

Key Risks
Execution risk on scaling launch cadence to meet expanding DoD requirements
High market cap ($47.9B) limits extreme upside multiples compared to smaller peers
Competitive Field — considered, not selected
AVAV

Disqualified due to an active securities fraud class action lawsuit regarding the termination of its SCAR contract and a resulting $151.3M goodwill impairment.

RDW

Lower policy score with no concrete contract value, compounded by a recent short report highlighting internal control weaknesses and equity dilution.

Recent Performance History

102 total picks · 44% win (7d) · 54% win (30d) · 39% beat SPY (7d) · Full history →
DateTickerThemeEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-07-10LUNRSPACE$16.14$15.15-6.13%N/AN/AN/A
2026-07-09LASRDEFENSE$74.71$68.79-7.92%N/AN/AN/A
2026-07-08LEUENERGY$166.47$156.05-6.26%N/AN/AN/A
2026-07-06LEUENERGY$174.23$156.05-10.43%-10.43%N/AN/A
2026-07-02GVAINFRA$145.93$118.74-18.63%-13.95%N/AN/A
2026-07-01LEUDEFENSE$166.34$156.05-6.19%+0.08%N/AN/A
2026-06-30CXWBORDER$30.38$31.43+3.46%-3.55%N/AN/A
2026-06-29CXWBORDER$30.29$31.43+3.76%+0.43%N/AN/A
2026-06-26TTEKENERGY$29.26$31.17+6.53%+2.19%N/AN/A
2026-06-25FCELENERGY$19.65$19.08-2.90%+62.29%N/AN/A
2026-06-24NPKDEFENSE$125.99$123.00-2.37%-1.47%N/AN/A
2026-06-23RGTIRESHORING$21.28$15.36-27.82%-9.21%N/AN/A
2026-06-22AISPBORDER$2.86$2.18-23.78%-18.88%N/AN/A
2026-06-18NPKDEFENSE$131.84$123.00-6.71%-6.16%N/AN/A
2026-06-16PSNINFRA$55.66$54.86-1.44%-12.59%N/AN/A
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0