CACI
CACI International, Inc.BORDERReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
Secured $500M contract for SkyValor drone defense at the Southern Border.
Represents a high-margin, full-rate production win tied to border security policy.
Technicals score a 9, offering a strong setup 30% below highs.
CACI offers the best asymmetric setup by combining a massive $500M border security catalyst with a highly favorable technical score of 9. While ALMU scored higher, it was picked yesterday, and our active thesis (T-004) warns against repeated picks due to catalyst exhaustion. CACI's position as a low-beta (0.54), established contractor trading 30% below its 52-week high provides a durable margin of safety in the current CAUTION regime.
The $500M SkyValor contract directly aligns with escalating federal border enforcement and counter-UAS policy priorities.
A technical score of 9 indicates strong immediate tradability, supported by the stock's low beta (0.54) and position 30.16% below its 52-week high.
Highest score, but was picked yesterday; T-004 warns that repeated picks within a 14-day window suffer from catalyst exhaustion.
Strong border policy catalyst, but trades just 4.9% below its 52-week high, making it a crowded setup.
The $2.5B data center surge is a commercial macro trend, not a direct federal policy-shift catalyst.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | ALMU | RESHORING | $15.06 | $15.33 | +1.79% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-28 | AMSC | ENERGY | $28.75 | $29.45 | +2.43% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-27 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $49.45 | $43.88 | -11.26% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-27 | AVAV | DEFENSE | $154.24 | $146.57 | -4.97% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-24 | CXW | BORDER | $31.35 | $29.80 | -4.94% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-17 | WTTR | ENERGY | $20.33 | $17.86 | -12.15% | -0.79% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-16 | CXW | BORDER | $30.65 | $29.80 | -2.77% | +3.26% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-15 | CNR | ENERGY | $86.21 | $81.13 | -5.89% | +1.47% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-14 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $50.36 | $43.88 | -12.87% | -4.27% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-13 | RKLB | SPACE | $76.73 | $64.68 | -15.70% | -14.32% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-10 | LUNR | SPACE | $16.14 | $12.25 | -24.10% | -16.73% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-09 | LASR | DEFENSE | $74.71 | $59.07 | -20.93% | -12.07% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-08 | LEU | ENERGY | $166.47 | $159.69 | -4.07% | -5.97% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-06 | LEU | ENERGY | $174.23 | $159.69 | -8.35% | -10.43% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-07-02 | GVA | INFRA | $145.93 | $114.92 | -21.25% | -13.95% | N/A | N/A |