Pick of the Day · August 10, 2026
As of close 2026-08-10

CLMT

Calumet, IncMOMENTUM BREAKOUT setup

Real picks. Real tracking. We bet on one stock daily and show you exactly how it plays out.

Entry Price
$45.47
Total Return
+0.00%
vs SPY
+0.00%
Current Price
$45.47
AI Confidence Score
85 /100
Engine-scored conviction, 0–100
Key Takeaways
  • Calumet, Inc (CLMT) is the Signal52 Pick of the Day for 2026-08-10.
  • The engine scored it 85/100 confidence.
  • Setup type: momentum breakout.
  • Selection is as of the 2026-08-10 market close; performance is tracked on the public track record.

Executive Summary

Calumet (CLMT) is triggering a high-conviction MOMENTUM_BREAKOUT following a massive Q2 revenue beat of $1.45 billion (up 40.8% YoY) and accelerated deleveraging, including $115 million in July debt retirement. The market is aggressively repricing the stock as the company's Montana Renewables MaxSAF 150 expansion comes online and cash flows improve. In today's definitive RISK_ON regime, where compressing volatility and lower yields actively reward high-beta momentum plays, CLMT's idiosyncratic debt-reduction story makes it an ideal breakout candidate.

Technical Context
The Setup

This fundamental inflection point is confirmed by exceptional price action, with the stock surging on 2.0x relative volume directly to its 52-week highs, signaling aggressive institutional accumulation.

Setup profileMOMENTUM BREAKOUTWhat these mean →
Invalidation — what would prove this wrong
The setup remains highly actionable with a strict invalidation if shares break below the established support level of $39.48.
Runner-ups — considered, not selected
CTRN

Strong preliminary sales and 2.1x volume, but retail sector carries higher consumer spending risk.

CAKE

Strong earnings breakout, but catalyst is slightly older at 24h and volume is lower at 1.3x.

YETI

High technical score of 10.5, but catalyst is only a price target raise rather than fresh fundamentals.

BANR

Good squeeze setup with buyback news, but lacks the explosive volume of top picks.

Recent Performance History · 118 total picks · 50% win rate (7d) · 44% beat SPY (7d)Full history →
DateTickerEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-08-07AMN$36.00$36.60+1.67%
2026-08-06CENT$46.54$43.90-5.67%
2026-08-05AVT$97.22$97.40+0.19%
2026-08-04EXPD$181.48$178.71-1.53%
2026-08-03AMZN$284.02$278.09-2.09%-2.09%
2026-07-31FHI$59.96$63.14+5.30%+6.85%
2026-07-30CNO$53.49$55.29+3.37%+3.72%
2026-07-29BUSE$30.72$30.82+0.34%+2.13%
2026-07-28NUE$265.62$274.61+3.38%+3.17%
2026-07-27PII$74.70$69.77-6.60%-5.44%
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0