Policy Pick · August 10, 2026
As of close 2026-08-10

GVA

Granite Construction IncorporatINFRA

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price
$125.97
Market Cap
N/A
Scanner Status
Noisepolicy-driven, not technical
Status
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Winner Score
55 /100
Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

1

Secured massive $512M DHS border wall construction contract

2

Verified award represents nearly 10% of total market cap

3

Uncrowded setup trading 22% below recent 52-week highs

GVA presents a superior asymmetric setup driven by a massive, independently verified $512M DHS border wall contract that dwarfs its headline $50M dam award. Unlike CACI, which is highly crowded after a 35% monthly run and lacks verified recent awards, GVA offers a clean technical entry 22% below its 52-week high with concrete government cash flow.

Policy Rationale

The verified $512M DHS obligation confirms GVA is a direct beneficiary of federal border security infrastructure spending, providing a highly material and verifiable policy tailwind.

Technical Setup

Trading 22% below its 52-week high with a Golden Cross signal, GVA offers an uncrowded entry point compared to overextended peers.

Key Risks
Execution risk on large-scale federal civil projects
Broader infrastructure spending delays or political shifts
Competitive Field — considered, not selected
CACI

Highly crowded after a 35% monthly run (5% from 52w high) and lacks verified federal awards to back up its $500M headline.

DCO

Disqualified due to an active fraud investigation and recent restatement of historical financial statements [1.1.1].

Recent Performance History

119 total picks · 45% win (7d) · 51% win (30d) · 40% beat SPY (7d) · Full history →
DateTickerThemeEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-08-07BWXTENERGY$169.90$168.88-0.60%N/AN/AN/A
2026-08-06KTOSDEFENSE$57.41$62.42+8.73%N/AN/AN/A
2026-08-05LDOSBORDER$133.24$137.57+3.25%N/AN/AN/A
2026-08-04GFSRESHORING$52.02$53.93+3.67%N/AN/AN/A
2026-08-03CCJENERGY$89.72$97.31+8.46%+8.46%N/AN/A
2026-07-31GVAINFRA$120.97$125.97+4.13%+6.08%N/AN/A
2026-07-30CACIBORDER$477.35$648.24+35.80%+31.73%N/AN/A
2026-07-29ALMURESHORING$15.06$17.25+14.54%+11.69%N/AN/A
2026-07-28AMSCENERGY$28.75$30.99+7.79%+16.35%N/AN/A
2026-07-27KTOSDEFENSE$49.45$62.42+26.23%-0.49%N/AN/A
2026-07-27AVAVDEFENSE$154.24$189.15+22.63%+3.20%N/AN/A
2026-07-24CXWBORDER$31.35$33.00+5.26%-4.63%N/AN/A
2026-07-17WTTRENERGY$20.33$20.23-0.49%-0.79%N/AN/A
2026-07-16CXWBORDER$30.65$33.00+7.67%+3.26%N/AN/A
2026-07-15CNRENERGY$86.21$94.16+9.22%+1.47%N/AN/A
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0