CLMT
NEUTRALEarningsCalumet, Inc
Price
$47.72
-2.19%This is the 2026-08-14 snapshot — the signals and analysis for CLMT as of this single trading day.
View full CLMT research hub →Score2.1Noise
Signals2/8 DNA0/13 Act · 1/4 Risk
SentimentNEUTRALScore: 8
Volume0.6xvs 20d avg
Analysis
Calumet (CLMT) is experiencing High-Conviction Price Discovery driven by a massive Q2 revenue beat ($1.4B, +29% vs consensus) and the expansion of its sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) supply agreement. These fundamental catalysts perfectly align with the stock's bullish PERFECT_STACK and GOLDEN_CROSS technical signals, explaining its strong +11.4% 1-month outperformance. With the broader market in a highly accommodative RISK_ON macro regime characterized by tight credit spreads and low volatility, institutional absorption is evident—highlighted by Two Seas Capital recently disclosing a 7.5% stake.
Fired Signals
GOLDEN CROSSPERFECT STACKDISTRIBUTION
Key Takeaways
- Actionable Thesis: CLMT's technical breakout is fundamentally validated by strong Q2 EBITDA ($159M) and expanding SAF contracts, making the current minor pullback an attractive entry within a RISK_ON macro environment.
- Key Risk: The company reported significant statutory per-share losses in Q2, and the stock is currently trading well above the recently updated consensus analyst price target of $41.00.
- What to Watch: Maintain strict risk management against the $39.48 support level while monitoring further institutional accumulation or updates on the Montana Renewables SAF hub.
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