CLMT

NEUTRALAnalyst

Calumet, Inc

2026-08-19

Price

$49.19

-3.19%

This is the 2026-08-19 snapshot — the signals and analysis for CLMT as of this single trading day.

View full CLMT research hub →

Score3.2Watchlist

Signals3/8 DNA0/13 Act · 1/4 Risk

SentimentNEUTRALScore: 8

Volume0.8xvs 20d avg

Analysis

CLMT is exhibiting high-conviction price discovery, fueled by a massive Q2 Adjusted EBITDA beat and rapid deleveraging progress, including the recent retirement of expensive 9.75% senior notes. Despite a headline GAAP EPS miss, institutional absorption is evident as the stock recently surged to new 52-week highs, backed by PERFECT_STACK and MARKET_LEADER technical signals. The current RISK_ON macro regime, characterized by falling yields and exceptionally tight high-yield spreads (0.82%), provides a perfect structural tailwind for a highly leveraged company executing a successful balance sheet turnaround.

Fired Signals

GOLDEN CROSSMARKET LEADERPERFECT STACKWEAK FINISH

Key Takeaways

Institutional buyers are aggressively rewarding CLMT's deleveraging and Montana Renewables SAF ramp-up, completely looking past the Q2 GAAP earnings miss.
The RISK_ON (RATES) regime and tight corporate credit spreads disproportionately benefit CLMT's debt reduction strategy, amplifying the equity's upside momentum.
Today's 3.2% pullback on light volume (0.8x average) is a healthy consolidation; maintaining the $39.48 support is critical to keeping the breakout thesis intact.

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