CACI
CACI International, Inc.BORDERReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
Secured $500M IDIQ and initial task order for Domestic Shield border program
Positions company as the prime beneficiary of expanding counter-drone border security funding
Recent 6.3 percent monthly pullback provides an attractive technical entry for buyers
CACI offers the best asymmetric setup because its $500M IDIQ for the new Domestic Shield program represents a major policy-shift catalyst in border security. While its total score is lower than BKSY's, BKSY's score is misleadingly inflated by high beta, whereas speculative space names consistently mean-revert (T-005). CACI's crowding penalty is offset by unusually strong policy evidence and its status as an established contractor (T-003).
The $500M C-UAS IDIQ and SkyValor task order directly tie CACI to the expanding JIATF-401 Domestic Shield effort, qualifying as a major policy-shift catalyst.
Despite being an established prime, CACI has pulled back 6.38% over the last month and triggered a Panic Reversal signal, providing a tradable setup.
Speculative space names have consistently failed to hold alpha and mean-revert (T-005), making its high score misleading.
The $23.7M contract is a routine, immaterial award (0.5% of mcap) rather than a policy-shift catalyst, and the company has a history of SEC enforcement.
The catalyst is a routine earnings report and guidance raise, not a fresh policy-driven event.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | AGX | ENERGY | $436.78 | $402.13 | -7.93% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-04 | BWXT | ENERGY | $157.59 | $156.71 | -0.56% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-03 | BWXT | ENERGY | $160.25 | $156.71 | -2.21% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-02 | BWXT | ENERGY | $155.67 | $156.71 | +0.67% | +0.67% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-01 | BWXT | ENERGY | $161.54 | $156.71 | -2.99% | -0.70% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-31 | BWXT | ENERGY | $152.29 | $156.71 | +2.90% | +5.33% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-28 | HDSN | RESHORING | $5.43 | $5.32 | -2.03% | -1.47% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-26 | CLF | RESHORING | $11.54 | $12.09 | +4.77% | +7.63% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-21 | CXW | BORDER | $34.01 | $34.37 | +1.06% | -0.59% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-20 | XE | ENERGY | $18.29 | N/A | +0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-19 | CXW | BORDER | $31.99 | $34.37 | +7.44% | +6.25% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-17 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $63.29 | $48.20 | -23.84% | -16.15% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-14 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $64.58 | $48.20 | -25.36% | -13.01% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-13 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $62.79 | $48.20 | -23.24% | -10.53% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-12 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $63.82 | $48.20 | -24.48% | -2.87% | N/A | N/A |