GEO
Geo Group Inc (The) REITBORDERReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
Secured a massive $528M DHS contract for essential detention and facility management services
The award represents nearly 13 percent of market cap, providing highly visible revenue
Trading just five percent below highs, showing strong momentum in a RISK_ON regime
GEO offers the most material catalyst among the finalists, with a $528M DHS award that significantly moves the needle against its $4.1B market cap. While operating in a politically sensitive sector, its role as a critical infrastructure enabler for federal agencies provides a durable, cash-generating moat.
The $528M DHS contract confirms ongoing federal reliance on private facility management for immigration enforcement and border security.
Trading just 5.3% below its 52-week high, GEO exhibits strong relative strength and momentum in the current RISK_ON regime.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | CACI | BORDER | $606.85 | $624.01 | +2.83% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-08 | AGX | ENERGY | $436.78 | $396.33 | -9.26% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-04 | BWXT | ENERGY | $157.59 | $152.49 | -3.24% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-03 | BWXT | ENERGY | $160.25 | $152.49 | -4.84% | -4.84% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-02 | BWXT | ENERGY | $155.67 | $152.49 | -2.04% | +0.67% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-01 | BWXT | ENERGY | $161.54 | $152.49 | -5.60% | -0.70% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-31 | BWXT | ENERGY | $152.29 | $152.49 | +0.13% | +5.33% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-28 | HDSN | RESHORING | $5.43 | $5.35 | -1.47% | -1.47% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-26 | CLF | RESHORING | $11.54 | $11.83 | +2.51% | +7.63% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-21 | CXW | BORDER | $34.01 | $34.41 | +1.18% | -0.59% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-20 | XE | ENERGY | $18.29 | N/A | +0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-19 | CXW | BORDER | $31.99 | $34.41 | +7.56% | +6.25% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-17 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $63.29 | $46.98 | -25.77% | -16.15% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-14 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $64.58 | $46.98 | -27.25% | -13.01% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-13 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $62.79 | $46.98 | -25.18% | -10.53% | N/A | N/A |