GEO
Geo Group Inc (The) REITBORDERReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
DHS awarded a $12M contract for ongoing detention facility services
Validates steady federal demand for private border infrastructure and capacity
Offers defensive stability and verifiable cash flow amid macro volatility
Although the $12M DHS contract is small relative to GEO's $4.1B market cap, it confirms ongoing federal reliance on private detention infrastructure. As an established government contractor, GEO offers verifiable cash flow and defensive stability in a volatile macro environment, fitting the profile of durable policy-driven outperformance.
The August 2026 USAspending.gov data confirms a $12M DHS contract, validating ongoing federal demand for GEO's border security and detention capacity.
Trading just 5.7% below its 52-week high, GEO demonstrates strong relative strength and institutional support despite broader market volatility.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | DRS | DEFENSE | $35.91 | $35.91 | +0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-11 | RGTI | RESHORING | $15.27 | $15.09 | -1.18% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-10 | GEO | BORDER | $31.38 | $30.85 | -1.69% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-09 | CACI | BORDER | $606.85 | $636.40 | +4.87% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-08 | AGX | ENERGY | $436.78 | $388.74 | -11.00% | -11.00% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-04 | BWXT | ENERGY | $157.59 | $146.70 | -6.91% | -4.74% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-03 | BWXT | ENERGY | $160.25 | $146.70 | -8.46% | -4.84% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-02 | BWXT | ENERGY | $155.67 | $146.70 | -5.76% | +0.67% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-01 | BWXT | ENERGY | $161.54 | $146.70 | -9.19% | -0.70% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-31 | BWXT | ENERGY | $152.29 | $146.70 | -3.67% | +5.33% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-28 | HDSN | RESHORING | $5.43 | $5.20 | -4.24% | -1.47% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-26 | CLF | RESHORING | $11.54 | $11.79 | +2.17% | +7.63% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-21 | CXW | BORDER | $34.01 | $35.38 | +4.03% | -0.59% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-20 | XE | ENERGY | $18.29 | N/A | +0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-08-19 | CXW | BORDER | $31.99 | $35.38 | +10.60% | +6.25% | N/A | N/A |