Policy Pick · September 30, 2026
As of close 2026-09-30

SAIC

Science Applications InternatioBORDER

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price
N/A
Market Cap
N/A
Scanner Status
Policypolicy-driven, not technical
Status
TIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Winner Score
51 /100
Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

1

Secured a massive $742 million recompete contract for CBP security systems

2

Provides long-term, predictable revenue through 2031 for core government IT services

3

Government IT primes demonstrate strong seven-day outperformance in current market regimes

SAIC offers a highly verifiable, low-capital-intensity catalyst with its $742M CBP recompete win, representing nearly 14% of its market cap. In a RISK_ON regime, established government IT services have demonstrated a strong ability to generate 7d alpha, decoupling from the mean-reversion seen in hardware and heavy infrastructure names.

Policy Rationale

The $742M DHS award directly aligns with border security modernization priorities, securing a critical revenue stream through 2031.

Technical Setup

Trading roughly 8% below its 52-week high, SAIC has room to run as the market prices in this substantial backlog addition.

Key Risks
–Broader market rotation out of defensive IT primes
–Margin compression on recompete contracts
Competitive Field — considered, not selected
RDWR

The evidence text refers to Redwire (RDW) while the ticker provided is Radware (RDWR), indicating a critical data mismatch.

FLR

Heavy infrastructure names have persistently failed to generate short-term alpha in RISK_ON regimes according to our active theses.

Recent Performance History

151 total picks · 46% win (7d) · 50% win (30d) · 44% beat SPY (7d) · Full history →
DateTickerThemeEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-09-29SAICBORDER$128.21$130.93+2.12%N/AN/AN/A
2026-09-28HUBBENERGY$465.72$453.60-2.60%N/AN/AN/A
2026-09-25AESIENERGY$12.47$12.01-3.69%N/AN/AN/A
2026-09-24KTOSDEFENSE$47.46$44.07-7.14%N/AN/AN/A
2026-09-23GEOBORDER$30.62$30.22-1.31%-1.31%N/AN/A
2026-09-22CACIBORDER$613.22$609.11-0.67%-0.83%N/AN/A
2026-09-21GEOBORDER$30.25$30.22-0.10%-0.10%N/AN/A
2026-09-18LEUENERGY$145.23$140.37-3.35%+1.27%N/AN/A
2026-09-17BKSYSPACE$22.76$21.31-6.37%+1.80%N/AN/A
2026-09-16RGTIRESHORING$14.79$15.74+6.42%+8.22%N/AN/A
2026-09-15GEOBORDER$31.26$30.22-3.33%-4.86%N/AN/A
2026-09-14DRSDEFENSE$35.91$36.67+2.12%+5.68%N/AN/A
2026-09-11RGTIRESHORING$15.27$15.74+3.08%+3.21%N/AN/A
2026-09-10GEOBORDER$31.38$30.22-3.70%+2.42%N/AN/A
2026-09-09CACIBORDER$606.85$609.11+0.37%+4.01%N/AN/A
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0