HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries, DEFENSEReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
Secured a massive $5.1B Navy contract for the USS Harry S. Truman overhaul
Provides highly visible, long-term revenue through the 2031 capital ship maintenance cycle
Deeply discounted valuation limits downside risk and attracts capital in a RISK_ON regime
HII offers an exceptional asymmetric setup, trading 40% below its 52-week high while securing a contract worth nearly half its market cap. While GEO scores 22 points higher, its score is misleading because its catalyst is tied to a July legal filing and it just locked a 7d miss; HII's fresh $5.1B award provides a much stronger, verifiable catalyst for mean reversion.
The $5.1B fixed-ceiling incentive contract for the USS Harry S. Truman mid-life overhaul cements HII's monopoly position in Navy capital ship maintenance.
Trading 40.36% below its 52-week high, the stock is deeply oversold and positioned for a momentum reversal on this massive backlog addition.
Despite its 66 score, GEO's recent 7d miss proves non-IT services are choppy, and its evidence is tied to an older July legal filing.
EFXT's infrastructure focus triggers T-011's warning that heavy construction names fail to catch short-term momentum in RISK_ON regimes.
While LDOS benefits from government IT tailwinds, its $672M award is only 4.4% of its market cap, lacking the transformative scale of HII's win.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | SAIC | BORDER | $130.93 | $130.93 | +0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-29 | SAIC | BORDER | $128.21 | $130.93 | +2.12% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-28 | HUBB | ENERGY | $465.72 | $453.60 | -2.60% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-25 | AESI | ENERGY | $12.47 | $11.69 | -6.26% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-24 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $47.46 | $44.07 | -7.14% | -9.78% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-23 | GEO | BORDER | $30.62 | $30.79 | +0.56% | -1.31% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-22 | CACI | BORDER | $613.22 | $627.06 | +2.26% | -0.83% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-21 | GEO | BORDER | $30.25 | $30.79 | +1.79% | -0.10% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-18 | LEU | ENERGY | $145.23 | $140.37 | -3.35% | +1.27% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-17 | BKSY | SPACE | $22.76 | $21.15 | -7.07% | +1.80% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-16 | RGTI | RESHORING | $14.79 | $15.62 | +5.61% | +8.22% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-15 | GEO | BORDER | $31.26 | $30.79 | -1.50% | -4.86% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-14 | DRS | DEFENSE | $35.91 | $36.67 | +2.12% | +5.68% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-11 | RGTI | RESHORING | $15.27 | $15.62 | +2.29% | +3.21% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-10 | GEO | BORDER | $31.38 | $30.79 | -1.88% | +2.42% | N/A | N/A |