Policy Pick · October 6, 2026
As of close 2026-10-06

TPC

Tutor Perini CorporationINFRA

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price
N/A
Market Cap
N/A
Scanner Status
Policypolicy-driven, not technical
Status
VerifiedTIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Winner Score
45 /100
Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

1

Secured a fresh $315M Coast Guard pier construction contract yesterday

2

Validates a massive $706M verified federal award backlog for infrastructure

3

Flat monthly price action means this multi-year tailwind remains unpriced

Tutor Perini offers the best asymmetric setup due to a massive, highly verified influx of federal infrastructure dollars that the market is currently ignoring. Yesterday's $315M Coast Guard contract adds to over $706M in verified federal awards over the last six months. With the stock flat over the past month, this fresh catalyst provides a clear trigger for a momentum catch-up trade in a RISK_ON environment.

Policy Rationale

The $315M Coast Guard pier contract is a direct result of expanding federal maritime and border infrastructure spending, perfectly aligning with TPC's self-perform capabilities.

Technical Setup

Trading flat over the last month (-0.51%), TPC has digested previous gains and is positioned for a breakout as the market prices in its expanding backlog.

Key Risks
–Heavy civil construction projects carry significant execution and margin-compression risks
–Broader infrastructure names have recently struggled to catch immediate momentum bids
Competitive Field — considered, not selected
AVAV

Historic $465M Army laser contract is compelling, but the catalyst is over a month old.

RKLB

Secured a massive 20-launch deal, but the stock is crowded and up 14% recently.

DCO

Quietly benefiting from missile production ramps, but the $35M award is too small.

Recent Performance History

155 total picks · 46% win (7d) · 48% win (30d) · 44% beat SPY (7d) · Full history →
DateTickerThemeEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-10-05GVAINFRA$118.90$118.90+0.00%N/AN/AN/A
2026-10-02GVAINFRA$119.92$118.90-0.85%N/AN/AN/A
2026-10-01HIIDEFENSE$274.33$266.48-2.86%N/AN/AN/A
2026-09-30SAICBORDER$130.93$126.90-3.08%N/AN/AN/A
2026-09-29SAICBORDER$128.21$126.90-1.02%-1.02%N/AN/A
2026-09-28HUBBENERGY$465.72$475.52+2.10%+3.21%N/AN/A
2026-09-25AESIENERGY$12.47$12.71+1.92%-3.45%N/AN/A
2026-09-24KTOSDEFENSE$47.46$42.02-11.46%-9.78%N/AN/A
2026-09-23GEOBORDER$30.62$30.79+0.56%-1.31%N/AN/A
2026-09-22CACIBORDER$613.22$599.64-2.21%-0.83%N/AN/A
2026-09-21GEOBORDER$30.25$30.79+1.79%-0.10%N/AN/A
2026-09-18LEUENERGY$145.23$140.37-3.35%+1.27%N/AN/A
2026-09-17BKSYSPACE$22.76$22.66-0.44%+1.80%N/AN/A
2026-09-16RGTIRESHORING$14.79$15.17+2.57%+8.22%N/AN/A
2026-09-15GEOBORDER$31.26$30.79-1.50%-4.86%N/AN/A
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0