SAIC
Science Applications InternatioBORDERReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
Secured massive $742M recompete for critical CBP traveler and cargo security systems
Defends massive revenue base while locking in long-term border infrastructure cash flows
Pullback of 4.3% this month creates attractive entry for high-margin government IT
SAIC offers the most compelling asymmetric setup, anchored by a highly material $742M CBP contract that represents over 14% of its market cap. While recent government IT picks have shown mixed short-term results, SAIC's 11% discount to its 52-week high and verified federal cash flows provide a strong margin of safety in a RISK_ON regime.
The $742M DHS award directly aligns with expanding border security mandates, cementing SAIC as the prime integrator for CBP's critical screening infrastructure.
Shares are trading 11% below their 52-week high after a 4.3% 1-month pullback, offering an uncrowded entry point for a major contract win.
Rejected due to an active securities fraud class action investigation regarding restated 2024-2025 financial statements.
The 20-launch Synspective contract is a commercial deal, lacking the required US federal policy catalyst, and the stock is heavily crowded.
The $13.7M DOE award is immaterial for a $48B utility company.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | TPC | INFRA | $89.06 | $84.40 | -5.23% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-05 | GVA | INFRA | $118.90 | $114.67 | -3.56% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-02 | GVA | INFRA | $119.92 | $114.67 | -4.38% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-01 | HII | DEFENSE | $274.33 | $266.48 | -2.86% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-30 | SAIC | BORDER | $130.93 | $126.90 | -3.08% | -3.08% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-29 | SAIC | BORDER | $128.21 | $126.90 | -1.02% | -1.02% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-28 | HUBB | ENERGY | $465.72 | $475.52 | +2.10% | +3.21% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-25 | AESI | ENERGY | $12.47 | $12.46 | -0.08% | -3.45% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-24 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $47.46 | $42.02 | -11.46% | -9.78% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-23 | GEO | BORDER | $30.62 | $30.79 | +0.56% | -1.31% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-22 | CACI | BORDER | $613.22 | $581.85 | -5.12% | -0.83% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-21 | GEO | BORDER | $30.25 | $30.79 | +1.79% | -0.10% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-18 | LEU | ENERGY | $145.23 | $147.14 | +1.32% | +1.27% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-17 | BKSY | SPACE | $22.76 | $21.85 | -4.00% | +1.80% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-09-16 | RGTI | RESHORING | $14.79 | $14.59 | -1.35% | +8.22% | N/A | N/A |