Policy Pick · October 14, 2026
As of close 2026-10-14

KTOS

Kratos Defense & Security SolutDEFENSE

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price
$39.33
Market Cap
N/A
Scanner Status
Noisepolicy-driven, not technical
Status
TIER_1_14DCONTRACT
Winner Score
54 /100
Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

1

Secured $100M in new contracts for space and cyber mission capabilities

2

Directly addresses DoD shift toward contested space and electronic warfare

3

Agile tech focus separates it from traditional capital-intensive defense primes

KTOS offers a 17-point score advantage and a recent $100M Tier 1 catalyst in the high-growth space/cyber domain. While its recent 7d track record is poor, it remains the most viable policy setup among a weak field, especially since runner-up DCO is disqualified by an active accounting fraud investigation.

Policy Rationale

The $100M in DoD awards validates Kratos's strategic pivot toward specialized RF signal processing and space domain awareness.

Technical Setup

The stock requires a strong momentum bid to overcome its recent pattern of 7d underperformance in the current RISK_ON regime.

Key Risks
–Consecutive pick momentum drag
–Persistent 7d underperformance in RISK_ON
–High forward P/E valuation
Competitive Field — considered, not selected
DCO

Disqualified due to a major active accounting fraud investigation and restatement of 2024 and 2025 financials.

GVA

Heavy infrastructure names persistently fail to generate 7d alpha in RISK_ON regimes (T-011), and the $23.7M award is immaterial.

STRL

The catalyst is a Seeking Alpha article rather than a verifiable new policy award, and infra names face regime headwinds.

Recent Performance History

160 total picks · 45% win (7d) · 48% win (30d) · 43% beat SPY (7d) · Full history →
DateTickerThemeEntryLastGain/Loss7d30d60d
2026-10-13KTOSSPACE$41.62$39.33-5.50%N/AN/AN/A
2026-10-09BKSYSPACE$20.92$17.65-15.63%N/AN/AN/A
2026-10-08GEOBORDER$30.79$32.19+4.55%N/AN/AN/A
2026-10-07SAICBORDER$126.90$133.31+5.05%+5.05%N/AN/A
2026-10-06TPCINFRA$89.06$83.26-6.51%-6.51%N/AN/A
2026-10-05GVAINFRA$118.90$112.47-5.41%-5.41%N/AN/A
2026-10-02GVAINFRA$119.92$112.47-6.21%-4.38%N/AN/A
2026-10-01HIIDEFENSE$274.33$264.53-3.57%-3.39%N/AN/A
2026-09-30SAICBORDER$130.93$133.31+1.82%-3.08%N/AN/A
2026-09-29SAICBORDER$128.21$133.31+3.98%-1.02%N/AN/A
2026-09-28HUBBENERGY$465.72$474.11+1.80%+3.21%N/AN/A
2026-09-25AESIENERGY$12.47$11.07-11.23%-3.45%N/AN/A
2026-09-24KTOSDEFENSE$47.46$39.33-17.13%-9.78%N/AN/A
2026-09-23GEOBORDER$30.62$32.19+5.13%-1.31%N/AN/A
2026-09-22CACIBORDER$613.22$604.01-1.50%-0.83%N/AN/A
Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0