ORN

Orion Group Holdings, Inc.INFRA

Real policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.

Current Price

N/A

Market Cap

N/A

Scanner Status

Policypolicy-driven, not technical

Status

TIER_1_14DCONTRACT

Winner Score

56 /100

Policy-catalyst strength, 0–100

Investment Thesis

Secured $250M in new infrastructure awards from the Army Corps

The massive contract value represents nearly 68 percent of market cap

Earnings event risk just cleared three days ago removing near-term overhang

Orion Group Holdings presents a highly asymmetric setup with a transformational $250M contract award representing nearly 68% of its market cap. With earnings just reported, the event risk is cleared, allowing the market to fully price in this massive backlog addition without near-term fundamental distractions.

Policy Rationale

The $250M in new awards, including mission-critical concrete projects for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, directly aligns with federal infrastructure spending priorities.

Technical Setup

With earnings risk removed, the sheer magnitude of the award provides a strong catalyst for short-term price discovery.

Key Risks

–INFRA theme historically underperforms at 7d horizon

–Subcontractor status limits direct federal award visibility

Competitive Field — considered, not selected

GEO

Earnings in 6 days introduces event risk, and recent picks in this name have seen severe 7d drawdowns.

RKLB

Modest 1.4% award materiality and active securities fraud class action lawsuits following a bearish short report.

Recent Performance History

172 total picks · 45% win (7d) · 47% win (30d) · 43% beat SPY (7d) · Full history →

Date	Ticker	Theme	Entry	Last	Gain/Loss	7d	30d	60d
2026-10-29	ORN	INFRA	$9.11	$8.82	-3.18%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-10-28	RKLB	SPACE	$58.60	$54.73	-6.60%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-10-27	GFS	RESHORING	$48.76	$41.90	-14.07%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-10-26	KTOS	DEFENSE	$38.27	$43.59	+13.90%	N/A	N/A	N/A
2026-10-23	GEO	BORDER	$26.94	$26.94	+0.00%	+5.86%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-22	KTOS	DEFENSE	$38.27	$43.59	+13.90%	+13.90%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-21	RKLB	SPACE	$53.67	$54.73	+1.98%	+9.19%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-20	WLDN	ENERGY	$72.72	$77.27	+6.26%	+0.44%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-19	WLDN	ENERGY	$73.57	$77.27	+5.03%	-0.72%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-16	GEO	BORDER	$32.19	$26.94	-16.31%	-16.31%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-15	GFS	RESHORING	$48.76	$41.90	-14.07%	-11.05%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-14	KTOS	DEFENSE	$39.33	$43.59	+10.83%	-1.50%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-13	KTOS	SPACE	$41.62	$43.59	+4.73%	-6.39%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-09	BKSY	SPACE	$20.92	$17.87	-14.58%	-17.21%	N/A	N/A
2026-10-08	GEO	BORDER	$30.79	$26.94	-12.50%	+4.55%	N/A	N/A

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Schema v1.0 | Pipeline v1.2.0