KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security SolutDEFENSEReal policy. Real catalysts. Policy creates winners before Wall Street notices. We find them first.
Investment Thesis
Secured critical power conversion role for NASA's next-gen nuclear spacecraft
Positions company in high-margin, long-term national security space domain
Avoids immediate earnings event risk while capturing CAUTION regime safety
Although GEO scores 10 points higher, its impending earnings report in 2 days introduces massive event risk that a policy catalyst cannot offset, making its score misleading for a 7-day horizon. KTOS provides the best asymmetric setup by offering a clean, forward-looking policy catalyst in nuclear space propulsion without this acute binary risk. While the absolute contract value is small, it establishes a strategic foothold in a high-priority, expanding federal domain.
The $33.6M NASA contract for the SR-1 Freedom Nuclear-Powered Spacecraft validates Kratos's expansion into specialized, high-barrier space subsystems.
KTOS has demonstrated recent momentum in CAUTION regimes, locking a strong 7d win (+6.9% vs SPY) just last week.
Disqualified due to extreme event risk, as it reports earnings in 2 days which overrides the 7-day policy catalyst.
The $397M Space Force contract is stale (dated August 2026) and the massive $34.7B market cap dilutes the impact.
The $189M Naval Nuclear Fuel contract is over a month old, and recent dense clusters in this name have led to severe 30d misses.
Recent Performance History
| Date | Ticker | Theme | Entry | Last | Gain/Loss | 7d | 30d | 60d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | GEO | BORDER | $26.94 | $28.07 | +4.19% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-30 | ORN | INFRA | $8.82 | $8.82 | +0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-29 | ORN | INFRA | $9.11 | $8.82 | -3.18% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-28 | RKLB | SPACE | $58.60 | $54.43 | -7.12% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-27 | GFS | RESHORING | $48.76 | $42.89 | -12.04% | -12.04% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-26 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $38.27 | $40.99 | +7.11% | +5.12% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-23 | GEO | BORDER | $26.94 | $28.07 | +4.19% | +5.86% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-22 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $38.27 | $40.99 | +7.11% | +13.90% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-21 | RKLB | SPACE | $53.67 | $54.43 | +1.42% | +9.19% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-20 | WLDN | ENERGY | $72.72 | $74.64 | +2.64% | +0.44% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-19 | WLDN | ENERGY | $73.57 | $74.64 | +1.45% | -0.72% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-16 | GEO | BORDER | $32.19 | $28.07 | -12.80% | -16.31% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-15 | GFS | RESHORING | $48.76 | $42.89 | -12.04% | -11.05% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-14 | KTOS | DEFENSE | $39.33 | $40.99 | +4.22% | -1.50% | N/A | N/A |
| 2026-10-13 | KTOS | SPACE | $41.62 | $40.99 | -1.51% | -6.39% | N/A | N/A |